How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Weather

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

1-3 49.4%
4-6 40.6%
7+ 25.6%
0 3.1%
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0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jul 25Jul 25Jul 25
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$2.4K Vol.

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

  • Resolver: official source.
  • Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
24h volume$2.4K
Liquidity$6.9K
Outcomes4

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